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If there is a better predictor than what is implied by the market then someone could make money on it. Hence the odds tend to be pretty accurate (with enough volume) because obvious edges like that tend to go to zero. A good example of that was the last election where people with access to private polls betted heavily and shifted the market one way.

This comment appears to be downvoted for ideological reasons? To me it seems manifestly true. The comment isn’t saying the market is perfect, just that it tends towards the best estimate because of incentives.

- Anti abortion law possibly being implemented on a federal level

Curious what do you base that on?


Isn't this a tentpole Republican/MAGA desire?

Why overturn Roe otherwise?

Why not implement it now when they'll control all branches of government and have a 6-3 favor in the supreme court?


> Isn't this a tentpole Republican/MAGA desire?

No, it's not.

> Why overturn Roe otherwise?

To let states decide how it should be handled, rather than a federal mandate. Allowing different possibilities to be tested - maybe in some states it will become completely illegal, maybe in others mothers will face pressure to terminate a pregnancy.


I hope you don't really think that being pro choice is about pressuring woman to terminate pregnancies.

Why do I think that's much more probable for abortion to become illegal than for women to be pressured to terminate pregnancies?

Your comment feels so innocent, but different possibilities to be tested just ends up in women being denied abortion


I think it's about as likely as it becoming illegal. There's too many good reasons to keep abortions even in a restricted state - even though it does open up a very messy moral can of worms.

There already are states where abortion is very restricted or illegal. There aren't states where terminating pregnancies is forced

Forgive my ignorance but I didn't realise there were states it was illegal in.

> There aren't states where terminating pregnancies is forced.

I personally don't think this could ever come from a mandated level (same as outright bans), I think instead we see it in the form of social pressure: and we can already see it across the US. An estimated 65% of abortions in the US are unwanted but the mother was heavily pressured by peers, family, work, etc. You can also see this in the downstream effects: getting an abortion raises your chances of suicide by 6x and depression by 4x.

Clinics also do not screen for coersion, the same way organ donations, adoptions, loans are all screened.

Again, should abortion be illegal because of the above? No. But it does indicate it's not as innocent as making sure women are ready/able/willing to have a child.


The only sources I can find about what you're saying is gutter something and lozier Institute, and by searching for them a bit it looks like they're catholic founded research. I'm gonna take what they say with a huge pinch of salt

I'm gonna trust more a study by the university of San Francisco which finds that most women don't regret having an abortion or are happy about it https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/01/416421/five-years-after-ab...


Thank you, I'm re-evaluating some of my opinions.

> To let states decide how it should be handled

If that's the case - why are states criminalizing getting an abortion in another state?

Some states decide for all states, that's the sort of thing that has to be decided on a federal level


> To let states decide how it should be handled, rather than a federal mandate. Allowing different possibilities to be tested - maybe in some states it will become completely illegal

Why should one get to play Laboratory of Democracy with women's lives?


Ballots across the country voted on various degrees of abortion and passed.

Fear, rage, and entitlement. Trump has been very clear he just doesn't want it regulated at a federal level.

He has also been very clear he wants to imprison his opponents and violently deal with immigrants. What should we believe?

> He has also been very clear he wants to imprison his opponents

When? He's gone out of his way to *not* imprison his opponents. Why do you think Hillary is still running around?

> violently deal with immigrants

*Illegal Immigrants

Not so sure about the violent part either, but let's just say that that's true.


Yet all the people he associates with do. I wonder what the most likely outcome from that might involve...

The EU is not a country and it doesnt set tax rates

Facebook already stole the “Metaverse” branding from Neal Stephenson and now they are trying to set up a data haven. They should put their hub in a southeast Asia island and name it The Sultanate of Kinakuta.

Wrong Stephenson connection! This isn't a data center, it's a submarine fiberoptics cable – hence clearly a reference to Mother Earth Mother Board [1] :)

[1] https://www.wired.com/1996/12/ffglass/


I’m sure there are a few Neal Stephenson fans in the ranks of the Meta SysAdmin types! Hopefully there a few computers/systems/whatever named after things out of his books.

Another alternative is https://github.com/microfeed/microfeed which is self-hosted for free on cloudflare workers/pages

Microfeed is cool and I love using it! I don't see it as very similar though.

He would win the election in Greece in a heartbeat


Not before Greece and North Macedonia declare war over who gets to claim the Alexander clone.


Well, whoever gets to have an election first, right? But then there's that thing about clones, why not both!


Friendly reminder that the modern country of North Macedonia has no connection whatsoever to the ancient Kingdom of Macedon which was a Greek state, similar to the other Greek city states (Athens, Sparta).

Ancient Macedonians spoke a Greek dialect, had Greek names and practiced the Greek religion. Modern Macedonians are for the most part Slavs that speak a Slavic language and have no historical connection to ancient Greece.

The naming confused me until I visited Vergina in Greece and had a chance to learn more about the EU politics behind it.


I want to buy one of these and run it headless as a plex server and a few other things. It can handle multiple transcodes without sweat.

Is there a solution to log in to the OS GUI over wifi (like from an ipad or mac) if I need to use it as a computer? It won’t have a screen attached.


Yes, Apple Screen Sharing is built in. It's based on VNC. You can definitely run it from another Mac, although it's not a great experience with other VNC clients on Windows or Linux. They appear to have their own encoding via VNC, based on H264 or HEVC, and falling back to the encodings supported by other clients is pretty laggy.

NoMachine runs alright on macOS.


I do this exact thing with my M2 Mac Mini (plex, a few home lab things with no display).

I use Chrome Remote Desktop to get into the box remotely. If the box does end up losing power/restarting, I also make sure to have SSH on so I can ssh into the box and start remote desktop before being logged in (Google provides instructions).

I found this to be the path of least resistance to getting it remotely accessible.



The market looks excited, the stock is almost 40% up since a few weeks before the announcement in May


Yes, any company not having an AI offer appears as a loser.

Ex: When you see travel pictures with tourists on it… You know it’s a iPhone. Android users have pristine pictures of the Coliseum without anyone in it.

Crowded photos are the green bubbles of iMessage.


Am I the only one who want to have photos that represent my experience, regardless of the amount of tourists ir traffic or road/building work done at the scene?

The photo of one of my family in law whatsapp group which we also framed in our corridor is a photo of me with my partner and her sister in a scenic historical street with a dog peeing at a light pole on the right corner. Another almost identical picture was taken without the dog but we just decided the "imperfect" one was better.

If I wanted a picture of a momument without tourists, I could just buy the damn postcard or download it somewhere.


> Am I the only one

Definitely not. Relatedly, the best advice I ever got about taking pictures of not-people is to put people in them. There are countless pictures, many of them better than I will ever get, of almost every mountain/building/whatever in the world. Put yourself, friends, and family in the shot, or it will be forgettable.

We just went through my late mother's albums of pictures a few months ago, and ultimately we ended up discarding a rather large number of them because they were just random pictures of landscapes.


The target audience is influencers that make the Apple look and feel of photos the default. They want pretty pictures and perfect scenes and then you have a bunch of teenagers going for the $1000+ iPhone instead of a Pixel for half the price with better AI but a different post processing pipeline


> They just found that the World Bank has poor financial controls and a lack of transparency in determining where funds are spent.

You mean like a certain crypto exchange CEO that recently went to jail for it?


Pretty sure that CEO was not just bad at accounting. In fact, he was pretty good at it, since all the "mistakes" were designed to benefit him.


Pretty obvious isn’t it? If you download the video from youtube/twitter/whatever and you watch it from your hard drive next time, they can’t serve you an ad.


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