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Ukraine had stable relations with Russia until they decided they wanted to align with the west and adopt democracy when there was a color revolution in 2014. If they had remained a vassal state of Russia, their relationship would still be stable.

Similarly, the situation in Kazakhstan is stable because they are a vassal state of Russia. Watch what happened when there was the beginning of a color revolution there earlier this year: Russian quickly sent troops to assist the Kazakh government in violently putting it down. If a successful color revolution was to happen in Kazakhstan (unlikely), Russia would be playing the same military games with them that they are now doing with Ukraine.




But Kazakhstan is already very well aligned with the West. In many areas its policies are more westernized than these of Ukraine. It also has the economy to apply these policies to. It's just realistic about needing to be reasonably polite with Russia, its largest neighbour and biggest trade partner, while minding its own business.

Is there an example of a "successful" color revolution which brougt democracy and prosperity, instead of bringing Russian tanks and more coups de etat? You are exactly right - if one of these happens in Kazakhstan, RIP Kazakhstan. It's too complex of a country already.


Ukraine was not a vassal state from 1991 to 2014.

Read the Independence Act of Ukraine from 1991, a referendum was held on that act by the entire population and approved with a clear majority.

The text clearly states that Ukraine should be independent and neutral status, it shall not join any military block.

By 2013-2014 calls for joining EU which has a defensive clause, effectively are calls to cancel the Independence Act of Ukraine.




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